We are just 226 days away from the next New Brunswick general election to take place. A lot has taken place in Fredericton since 2006. The Tories and the New Democrats have both gotten a new leader, the Greens have formed their own party, and the Liberals have dropped from a considerable lead in the polls to being neck and neck with the PCs. This one is going to be fun to watch from afar.
The average polls in 2009 had the Liberals down 7% compared to 2006, and the Tories down 8%. This obviously is not good news for either party. But what has caused this? Overall it appears that Tory support is down and that left-leaning or increasingly environmentalists who did support the Liberals last time have switched to the NDP or the Greens. After going through all of the seats with these 2009 numbers it appears that the Liberals will somehow gain another seat increasing to 30, while the Tories will lose two, with the NDP picking up the remaining seat.
Ladies and gentlemen it appears that it will be a very tight race between the Government and Opposition this time, if worse comes to worse, should the Liberals win, they might even need the support of a possible sole NDP MLA.
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