Since the 2000's the Greens (whether it's federal or provincial), have been gaining support, and could win a seat within the next year or two. As a New Democrat, I must combat this, the last thing we need is a three way vote split on the left (Liberals, New Democrats, and Greens), but luckily there are signs that Green Party on the provincial scale is either falling apart of losing support.
Ever since the 2001 election, where the NDP had an epic failure, the Greens got 12% of the vote, by 2005 they had dropped to 9%, which was expected. What wasn't expected however was that by the 2009 election, they would drop further to 8% due in part to the NDP's environmental policies. Maybe some people don't like Jane Sterk, I don't know but, but I do know that if this trend continue, the Greens in a few elections will be nothing more than a fringe party.
In Alberta, it's going a lot worse for them. After capturing about 5% in the latest provincial election (2008), the party failed to return mandatory financial returns, and as a result was dissolved. Thus, the Green Party of Alberta doesn't exist anymore. Since they are barred from running in the 2012 provincial election (they could run in the 2016 election), there are going to be numerous independent candidates. But, since independents have trouble associating themselves with regular voters (and getting donations for that fact), I don't expect many of them to do any better than they did in the 2008 election. The same thing occurred to the Newfoundland wing back in 2000, known as the Terra Novas.
Saskatchewan is more of the rebellious party of all the provincial wings, and as a result has been doing poorly in the provincial elections (2%). If they were to run candidates in all ridings they could get 5%. Manitoba and Quebec's wings are up to 2% as well, but the Quebec wing was dissolved before (2001), I would love it if they were dissolved again. Over in Atlantic Canada, the New Brunswick Greens have just been formed and they like the two parties before this will probably get 2%, and no seats. Ontario is one of the strongest areas provincially for Green support with 8% in the polls. If anyone is going to be any seats in a Legislative Assembly, it's going to be Ontario. Don't expect it in the next election, but perhaps in the 2015 election. Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island have the potential for their Green parties to get more than 2%, but they are both not in a position to be pulling the strings (the Nova Scotia wing only went up .01% in the latest election).
Beyond all of this negative news though from the provincial wings, the federal party could win their first seat in the next election with their leader running in Saanich - Gulf Islands against Conservative Minister, Gary Lunn. Then again, they thought they could do that against Peter MacKay back in 2008, I guess we'll have to wait to find out.
Ever since the 2001 election, where the NDP had an epic failure, the Greens got 12% of the vote, by 2005 they had dropped to 9%, which was expected. What wasn't expected however was that by the 2009 election, they would drop further to 8% due in part to the NDP's environmental policies. Maybe some people don't like Jane Sterk, I don't know but, but I do know that if this trend continue, the Greens in a few elections will be nothing more than a fringe party.
In Alberta, it's going a lot worse for them. After capturing about 5% in the latest provincial election (2008), the party failed to return mandatory financial returns, and as a result was dissolved. Thus, the Green Party of Alberta doesn't exist anymore. Since they are barred from running in the 2012 provincial election (they could run in the 2016 election), there are going to be numerous independent candidates. But, since independents have trouble associating themselves with regular voters (and getting donations for that fact), I don't expect many of them to do any better than they did in the 2008 election. The same thing occurred to the Newfoundland wing back in 2000, known as the Terra Novas.
Saskatchewan is more of the rebellious party of all the provincial wings, and as a result has been doing poorly in the provincial elections (2%). If they were to run candidates in all ridings they could get 5%. Manitoba and Quebec's wings are up to 2% as well, but the Quebec wing was dissolved before (2001), I would love it if they were dissolved again. Over in Atlantic Canada, the New Brunswick Greens have just been formed and they like the two parties before this will probably get 2%, and no seats. Ontario is one of the strongest areas provincially for Green support with 8% in the polls. If anyone is going to be any seats in a Legislative Assembly, it's going to be Ontario. Don't expect it in the next election, but perhaps in the 2015 election. Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island have the potential for their Green parties to get more than 2%, but they are both not in a position to be pulling the strings (the Nova Scotia wing only went up .01% in the latest election).
Beyond all of this negative news though from the provincial wings, the federal party could win their first seat in the next election with their leader running in Saanich - Gulf Islands against Conservative Minister, Gary Lunn. Then again, they thought they could do that against Peter MacKay back in 2008, I guess we'll have to wait to find out.
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