
The Progressive Conservatives in a near repeat of the 1999 election have 42 seats of the 55 in the Legislature with the opposition Liberals at 13 seats. The NDP, Green Party, and People's Alliance all failed to win a seat. The black cats managed to get 49% of the vote, while the Liberals captured their lowest result ever of 34%, the NDP at 10%, the Greens at 5%, and the PANB and independents at 1% each.
From the beginning it appears that this government was doomed to failure. The 2006 election gave more votes to the PCs then the Liberals. Even before they took office, the Liberals were already leading without the confidence of the people. Although things calmed, and polling numbers hit up to the 60's for them, and the former Premier, Bernard Lord resigned. Things were going well until someone mentioned the elephant in the room, the debt. The debt had grown at an ever increasing rate even during times of economic prosperity. Mr. Alward attacked the hell out of this, and then the NB Power-Hydro-Quebec deal came about. While it could have tackled the debt, it proved to be very unpopular due to a loss of sovereignty. This was the nail in the coffin for Shawn Graham and many of his ministers as well.
The campaign was marked with a shit-load (actual unit of measurement) of promises from both sides. Fiscally incompetent pledges were made by most parties (read: Progressive Conservatives, Liberals and the Greens) that involved spending more money and taxing less during a time of economic despair. I'm not a fan of fiscal austerity and I'm confident that the people of New Brunswick aren't either, but I don't think they want a bigger debt either. This was the primary issue of the campaign, and during my occasional visits to the PC Party's website before the election, that was the primary concern, so it is natural that they would address this quite head-on. It appears to have been much more resonating to the people then a promise of 60,000 something laptops from the Liberals for students.
Each party has its own set of problems to face in the not so distant future. How will a thirteen member opposition caucus attack the government with the former Premier still in the wings? I smell a resignation from the Liberal leader soon. The NDP while increasing its vote count still has yet to hold a seat since 2004, which effectively silences the party in the Legislature. The Green Party did not achieve the national standard for the federal party, and they too will need to find candidates in every riding if they wish to be viewed as a major party by 2014. Finally, the People's Alliance is now in a crucial state, will it grow and prosper from possible PC Party fallacies, or will it demise like so many other fringe parties?
The PC Party is now faced with the immensely difficult task of governing. Reducing government size, cutting taxes, and somehow eradicating at least part of the debt are priorities for the Alward government. While their numbers seem to be incorrect to achieve this, I do wish them the best with addressing these problems, and the many more that are sure to come about in the next four years.
This marks another victory for the black cats, and while I'm saddened by the NDP's results, I feel humbled that nearly 40,000 took the stand for the middle class, and voted for a positive future for the province. While today is a defeat, I know the people of New Brunswick are smart, capable individuals, and they too will one day realize that there is no difference between red and blue. One day they too will elect a government that offers social democratic solutions to the problems New Brunswick faces today in order to solve the challenges of tomorrow.